Yes won. Smart money backed No (4 ranked wallets, average entry 22¢) and lost. Volume $1.3k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
QuantDeLaFugazi took +$120 on Yes from 57¢; the biggest loser gave up $35.
See every winner & loser ↗| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $3.5M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| BreakTheBank | $8.5M | $4.1M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Fed Decision in December? | 25 bps increase 89% · 50+ bps increase 9% · No change 2% | $3.7M |
| Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns vs. UNCW Seahawks | Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns 49% · UNCW Seahawks 52% | $1.6M |
| Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? | Yes 1% · No 99% | $1.3M |
| UFC 334: Josh Hokit vs. Ciryl Gane (Heavyweight, Main Card) | Josh Hokit 35% · Ciryl Gane 66% | $1.2M |
| Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ (BO3) - BLAST Rivals Playoffs | Vitality 48% · MOUZ 52% | $1000k |
| Next CEO of NVIDIA? | Ian Buck 30% · Colette Kress 14% · Jensen Huang (No Change) 8% | $871k |
| Presidential Election Winner 2028 | JD Vance 13% · Gavin Newsom 7% · Nikki Haley 0% | $534k |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15? | Yes 97% · No 3% | $402k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| QuantDeLaFugazi | Yes | $119.55 |
| peterfromfamilyguy | Yes | $22.66 |
| annont | Yes | $14.20 |
| brra | Yes | $7.80 |
| sw1sh | Yes | $3.64 |
| QR1 | No | −$35.15 |
| 0xefa4… | No | −$19.59 |
| Carabao | No | −$17.20 |
| LornaPredicts | No | −$16.43 |
| Laribobibo | No | −$9.46 |
| verybadtrader | No | −$8.70 |
| 1x6891589732cf8beaaf424b117d5c5c20919f6bb9 | No | −$8.60 |
16 wallets held a position at the close. The 5 biggest winners took $168; the 11 biggest losers gave up $143. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
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