Yes 66% · No 35%. Volume $1.7k, liquidity $6.1k. Trade it on Polymarket ↗ Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗ Every outcome of Avg. # of ships transiting Strait of Ho… →
3 ranked wallets are on No.
Track all 3 wallets ↗| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes 10% · No 91% | $682k |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 15, 2026? | Yes 5% · No 95% | $473k |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15? | Yes 94% · No 7% | $391k |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026? | Yes 22% · No 78% | $387k |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | Yes 10% · No 91% | $334k |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? | Yes 41% · No 59% | $283k |
| Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by November 30, 2026? | Yes 28% · No 72% | $191k |
| Iran leadership change by December 31? | Yes 8% · No 93% | $178k |
| Wallet | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| 0xf163…81fe | Yes | 305 |
| 0nk0nf0rm0d | Yes | 100 |
| Jnf17 | Yes | 46 |
| Vaskipezde | Yes | 45 |
| 0xefe7…a709 | Yes | 32 |
| JosephIsGreat | Yes | 19 |
| helicobite | Yes | 19 |
| pootytherewardfarmer | Yes | 15 |
| youtube-trader | Yes | 1 |
| Wxc-2026 | Yes | 0 |
| 0xa5ef39 | No | 169 |
| xtxpleasecallme | No | 102 |
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