No 100% · Yes 0%. Smart money leans Yes (3 ranked wallets, average entry 21¢). Volume $0. Trade it on Polymarket ↗ Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
15 ranked wallets bought Yes at 21¢. It’s 0¢ now — −100% on paper.
Track all 15 wallets ↗| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes 13% · No 87% | $497k |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15? | Yes 91% · No 9% | $342k |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 15, 2026? | Yes 3% · No 97% | $325k |
| Iran leadership change by December 31? | Yes 8% · No 93% | $204k |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026? | Yes 13% · No 88% | $181k |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? | Yes 35% · No 65% | $131k |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | Yes 7% · No 94% | $102k |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? | Yes 54% · No 46% | $101k |
| Wallet | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| TENETENET | Yes | 500 |
| labistiiia | Yes | 500 |
| haruk098 | Yes | 483 |
| 0xb8bf…48c5 | Yes | 427 |
| horatio | Yes | 406 |
| stygimoloch | Yes | 394 |
| 0xece4…b400 | Yes | 372 |
| 0x5ec8…f364 | Yes | 268 |
| Carcajou | Yes | 260 |
| norealtime | Yes | 250 |
| 0xa5ef39 | No | 22k |
| 0x54cd…e01e | No | 0 |
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