No won. Smart money backed Yes (1 ranked wallet, average entry 38¢) and lost. Volume $56.4M. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Fed Decision in December? | 25 bps increase 71% · No change 28% · 50+ bps increase 2% | $138k |
| How many Fed rate cuts in 2026? | 0 (0 bps) 97% · 1 (25 bps) 2% · 2 (50 bps) 1% | $28k |
| Will 1 Fed rate hike happen in 2026? | Yes 28% · No 73% | $19k |
| Reserve Bank of New Zealand Decision in March? | 25 bps increase 37% · 25 bps decrease 16% | $13k |
| Bank of Mexico Decision in November? | No change 87% · 25 bps decrease 12% | $12k |
| Reserve Bank of Australia Decision in November | 25 bps increase 94% · No change 6% | $10k |
| Bank of Canada Decision in December? | No Change 63% · 25 bps increase 37% | $7k |
| Will the Bank of England decrease the Bank Rate by 25 bps at the March meeting? | Yes 12% · No 89% | $7k |
Part of the Fed rate decision Polymarket dashboard. Browse every live market, the recently resolved markets or the top wallets. Prefer code? The same data is a REST API and MCP server.