Yes won. Smart money backed No (3 ranked wallets, average entry 17¢) and lost. Volume $166k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Which company has the best AI model end of November? | Google 72% · Anthropic 27% · OpenAI 2% | $31k |
| When will Gemini Carbon be released? | November 9–November 15 73% · November 16–November 22 13% · November 23–November 29 6% | $27k |
| Which company has best AI model end of 2026? | Google 54% · Anthropic 37% · OpenAI 6% | $19k |
| OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027? | Yes 6% · No 95% | $13k |
| Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by December 31, 2026? | Yes 93% · No 8% | $13k |
| Gemini Carbon released on...? | November 11 28% · November 10 25% · No release by November 30 10% | $10k |
| Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by November 15, 2026? | Yes 69% · No 32% | $9k |
| When will GPT Astra 6.1+ be released? | November 2–November 8 48% · November 16–November 22 19% · November 9–November 15 14% | $8k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| rewardbots | Yes | $890.83 |
| George.Smiley | Yes | $777.44 |
| conherence | Yes | $544.66 |
| Contentious-Dinnerdate | Yes | $541.98 |
| hadarhaddad | Yes | $380.75 |
| breakingcute | Yes | $284.61 |
| jackylove | Yes | $276.66 |
| FDSft | Yes | $276.11 |
| JesusFK | Yes | $268.34 |
| 0x6c67… | Yes | $247.32 |
| dedidanc | Yes | $192.67 |
| lplplplplplp | Yes | $172.90 |
233 wallets held a position at the close. The 60 biggest winners took $6.4k; the 60 biggest losers gave up $6.2k. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
No ranked, Sharp or Whale wallet held this side.
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