Who is the smart money on “Will Thinky be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of December 2026?”?

The smart-money widget lists the ranked, Sharp and Whale wallets on each side with their shares, entry prices and track records; the 'follow' line summarises which side they favour.

Where does this data come from?

Polymarket odds, volume and liquidity from the public APIs, plus Polynyx's analytics layer: 500M+ on-chain fills rebuilt into wallet P&L, win rates and smart-money positioning, with arbitrage and market-maker bots filtered out. The wallet-level view of this market — every smart wallet by name with its P&L and trades — lives on Polynyx.

Can I make this my own dashboard?

Yes. Use this template clones the six widgets into your account; change the window, add a wallet, filter the tape to one side, and publish it as a page of its own.

Tech & Science · AI · live

Will Thinky be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of December 2026?

No 100% · Yes 0%. Volume $370, liquidity $787. Trade it on Polymarket ↗ Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗

No
100%
Yes
0%
Volume
$370
Liquidity
$787

Trade like a whale.Every smart wallet on this market by name, their entries and the live tape — on Polynyx.Trade like a whale ↗

Smart wallets

Who holds each side.

Yes

2 wallets · 60 known shares

X10X10X10
entry — · all-time +$46k · win 50%
lpgbwhale
entry — · all-time +$244k · win 40%

No

0 wallets

No ranked, Sharp or Whale wallet holds this side.

More AI markets

FAQ

What are the odds for “Will Thinky be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of December 2026?” on Polymarket?: No 100% · Yes 0%, on $370 of volume. The odds-history widget charts the last month; every number refreshes on your plan's cadence — 15 minutes on Hobby, every minute on Developer.
Who is the smart money on “Will Thinky be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of December 2026?”?: The smart-money widget lists the ranked, Sharp and Whale wallets on each side with their shares, entry prices and track records; the 'follow' line summarises which side they favour.
Where does this data come from?: Polymarket odds, volume and liquidity from the public APIs, plus Polynyx's analytics layer: 500M+ on-chain fills rebuilt into wallet P&L, win rates and smart-money positioning, with arbitrage and market-maker bots filtered out. The wallet-level view of this market — every smart wallet by name with its P&L and trades — lives on Polynyx.
Can I make this my own dashboard?: Yes. Use this template clones the six widgets into your account; change the window, add a wallet, filter the tape to one side, and publish it as a page of its own.

Browse every live market or the top wallets. Prefer code? The same data is a REST API and MCP server.

Will Thinky be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of December 2026?

live

Will Thinky be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of De… · odds, 1 month

Market & odds history

Current odds

Market & odds history

99.7%

Smart money by side · known shares

Smart money on a market

Yes60100%

Tape · this market, $500+

Live trade tape

No trades match these filters in the current window.

AI markets by 24h volume

Live markets

Market	Odds	24h volume	Liquidity
Which company has best AI model end of 2026?	Google 53% · Anthropic 37% · OpenAI 6%	$53k	$593k
Which company has the best AI model end of November?	Google 62% · Anthropic 32% · OpenAI 2%	$36k	$63k
When will Gemini Carbon be released?	November 9–November 15 67% · November 16–November 22 14% · November 2–November 8 8%	$22k	$9k
Gemini Carbon released on...?	November 11 35% · November 10 26% · No release by November 30 9%	$14k	$11k
OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?	Yes 7% · No 94%	$13k	$17k
Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by December 31, 2026?	Yes 92% · No 9%	$10k	$13k
Gemini Carbon released by November 15, 2026?	Yes 78% · No 22%	$10k	$10k
Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by November 15, 2026?	Yes 61% · No 39%	$8k	$5k

Order book · depth behind the odds

Order book

Yesbid 0.1¢ask 0.5¢spread 0.4¢mid 0.3¢

SizeBid

AskSize

7210.1¢

0.5¢116

0.9¢150

1¢6

10¢75

10¢20

11¢19

21¢50

21¢20

34¢100

Biggest holders · each side

Top holders

Wallet	Outcome	Shares	All-time P&L
xtxpleasecallme	Yes	194	$193k
2200FCA4fE3bAb3706522A8F4436B7656911474f.	Yes	150	$727.20
qwen300.fund	Yes	50	$501k
Haradwaith	Yes	46	−$421k
youtube-trader	Yes	41	−$5k
X10X10X10	Yes	40	$46k
Numitus1994	Yes	20	−$36k
lpgb	Yes	20	$244k
PPMT	Yes	18	$18k
bjprolo	Yes	10	$13k
0xa5ef39	No	594	$0

Smart-money conviction · AI

Smart-money conviction

1Gemini Carbon released by November 9, 2026?$3k
2Will Google have the best AI model at the end of November 2026?$2k
3Will Kimi K3.1 Pro debut at a score of at least 1470 by June 30, 2027?$658.72
4Will Gemini Carbon debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 65% or higher?$506.89
5Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by November 15, 2026?$363.57
6Will Gemini Carbon debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 65% or higher?$292.19
7Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?$320.96