No won. Smart money backed Yes (3 ranked wallets, average entry 94¢) and lost. Volume $220k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Elon Musk # tweets October 27 - November 3, 2026? | 400-419 22% · 420-439 20% · 380-399 16% | $278k |
| Elon Musk # tweets October 30 - November 6, 2026? | 380-399 13% · 340-359 12% · 360-379 12% | $130k |
| Elon Musk # tweets October 31 - November 2, 2026? | 90-114 54% · 115-139 24% · 65-89 14% | $117k |
| Next James Bond actor? | Jack Lowden 37% · Callum Turner 26% · No Bond chosen 14% | $57k |
| Elon Musk # tweets November 2 - November 4, 2026? | 65-89 17% · 40-64 7% · 240+ 2% | $9k |
| Elon Musk # tweets November 3 - November 10, 2026? | 320-339 14% · 340-359 12% · 280-299 8% | $8k |
| "Godzilla Minus Zero" Opening Weekend Box Office | <28m 25% · 43m+ 10% | $6k |
| Will Elon Musk post 1000+ tweets in November 2026? | Yes 83% · No 17% | $6k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| 0x4f80… | Yes | $81.22 |
| Addresss | No | $40.95 |
| Unlucky69420 | Yes | $16.70 |
| PickleRick | No | $14.43 |
| Amosfa | Yes | $14.25 |
| coverxb12 | No | $13.73 |
| Sell5809 | No | $13.62 |
| PickleRick | Yes | $13.34 |
| Euphy | Yes | $11.69 |
| apple-immune | No | $11.60 |
| they-seat | Yes | $10.67 |
| anxiety53 | Yes | $9.53 |
191 wallets held a position at the close. The 60 biggest winners took $438; the 60 biggest losers gave up $848. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
No ranked, Sharp or Whale wallet held this side.
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