No won. Smart money backed Yes (2 ranked wallets, average entry 1¢) and lost. Volume $139k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
DawnOfYemen took +$1.3k on No from 99¢; the biggest loser gave up $627.
See every winner & loser ↗| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027? | Yes 33% · No 67% | $82k |
| Presidential Election Winner 2028 | Donald Trump 1% · Ivanka Trump 1% · Donald Trump Jr. 0% | $50k |
| Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? | Yes 2% · No 98% | $47k |
| Trump declares election interference national emergency by December 31? | Yes 3% · No 98% | $46k |
| Will Marco Rubio leave the Trump administration before 2027? | Yes 13% · No 88% | $35k |
| Where will Trump and Putin meet next in 2026? | China 87% · No meeting by December 31 11% · United States 1% | $25k |
| Trump out as President before 2027? | Yes 3% · No 97% | $23k |
| Republican Presidential Nominee 2028 | Donald Trump Jr. 2% · Ivanka Trump 1% · Donald Trump 1% | $18k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| DawnOfYemen | No | $1k |
| RainIess | No | $1k |
| AYTLS | No | $352.74 |
| 0xb675… | No | $322.29 |
| Tbhidk-1767 | No | $237.93 |
| vino1234 | No | $147.44 |
| 165cm | No | $130.50 |
| Fulgurator | No | $118.76 |
| NUPlaystation | No | $113.33 |
| johnlkelly | No | $97.25 |
| 0xc3db… | No | $92.64 |
| dairee1 | No | $84.01 |
179 wallets held a position at the close. The 60 biggest winners took $5.2k; the 60 biggest losers gave up $2.4k. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
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