Yes won. Smart money backed No (1 ranked wallet, average entry 31¢) and lost. Volume $50k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
depaysement took +$243 on Yes from 74¢; the biggest loser gave up $140.
See every winner & loser ↗| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027? | Yes 31% · No 70% | $85k |
| Presidential Election Winner 2028 | Donald Trump 1% · Ivanka Trump 1% · Donald Trump Jr. 0% | $53k |
| Trump declares election interference national emergency by December 31? | Yes 3% · No 97% | $52k |
| Trump out as President before 2027? | Yes 3% · No 97% | $31k |
| Will Marco Rubio leave the Trump administration before 2027? | Yes 14% · No 86% | $28k |
| Will Stephen Miller leave the Trump administration before 2027? | Yes 4% · No 97% | $26k |
| Where will Trump and Putin meet next in 2026? | China 88% · No meeting by December 31 11% · United States 1% | $23k |
| Republican Presidential Nominee 2028 | Donald Trump Jr. 2% · Ivanka Trump 1% · Donald Trump 1% | $21k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| depaysement | Yes | $243.46 |
| jklsjdwoqejasdf | Yes | $191.93 |
| Olcan | Yes | $129.69 |
| 38327832383823 | Yes | $89.96 |
| 0xc327… | Yes | $58.28 |
| Schnorrer | Yes | $41.00 |
| EmeraldEdge | Yes | $39 |
| randomWalkingShrimp | Yes | $36.94 |
| Barkshire-Hathaway | Yes | $21.51 |
| melonmanm | Yes | $20.70 |
| 0ppt | Yes | $16.90 |
| Kennethnews | Yes | $16 |
140 wallets held a position at the close. The 55 biggest winners took $1.1k; the 60 biggest losers gave up $876. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
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