Where does this data come from?

Polymarket odds, volume and liquidity from the public APIs, plus Polynyx's analytics layer: 500M+ on-chain fills rebuilt into wallet P&L, win rates and smart-money positioning, with arbitrage and market-maker bots filtered out. The wallet-level view of this market — every smart wallet by name with its P&L and trades — lives on Polynyx.

Can I make this my own dashboard?

Yes. Use this template clones the six widgets into your account; change the window, add a wallet, filter the tape to one side, and publish it as a page of its own.

Economics · Markets · live

Will UBS or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in OpenAI's initial public offering?

No 100% · Yes 0%. Volume $4.3k, liquidity $987. Trade it on Polymarket ↗ Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗

No
100%
Yes
0%
Volume
$4.3k
Liquidity
$987

Trade like a whale.Every smart wallet on this market by name, their entries and the live tape — on Polynyx.Trade like a whale ↗

Smart wallets

Who holds each side.

Yes

1 wallets · 353 known shares

plsnolose
entry 8¢ · all-time +$13k · win 31%

No

0 wallets

No ranked, Sharp or Whale wallet holds this side.

More Markets markets

FAQ

What are the odds for “Will UBS or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in OpenAI's initial public offering?” on Polymarket?: No 100% · Yes 0%, on $4.3k of volume. The odds-history widget charts the last month; every number refreshes on your plan's cadence — 15 minutes on Hobby, every minute on Developer.
Who is the smart money on “Will UBS or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in OpenAI's initial public offering?”?: The smart-money widget lists the ranked, Sharp and Whale wallets on each side with their shares, entry prices and track records; the 'follow' line summarises which side they favour.
Where does this data come from?: Polymarket odds, volume and liquidity from the public APIs, plus Polynyx's analytics layer: 500M+ on-chain fills rebuilt into wallet P&L, win rates and smart-money positioning, with arbitrage and market-maker bots filtered out. The wallet-level view of this market — every smart wallet by name with its P&L and trades — lives on Polynyx.
Can I make this my own dashboard?: Yes. Use this template clones the six widgets into your account; change the window, add a wallet, filter the tape to one side, and publish it as a page of its own.

Part of the Fed rate decision Polymarket dashboard. Browse every live market or the top wallets. Prefer code? The same data is a REST API and MCP server.

Will UBS or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in OpenAI's initial public offering?

live

Will UBS or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the… · odds, 1 month

Market & odds history

Current odds

Market & odds history

99.8%

Smart money by side · known shares

Smart money on a market

Yes353100%

Tape · this market, $500+

Live trade tape

No trades match these filters in the current window.

Markets markets by 24h volume

Live markets

Market	Odds	24h volume	Liquidity
Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap	$1.75–$2.0T 31% · $2.0–$2.25T 21% · $1.5–$1.75T 18%	$87k	$216k
Anthropic IPO Date	November 20 21% · No IPO by November 30, 2026 19% · November 19 17%	$31k	$23k
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $160 in November?	Yes 1% · No 99%	$28k	$47k
Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?	SpaceX 54% · Anthropic 46%	$24k	$82k
OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap	1.5T+ 39% · No IPO by December 31, 2027 25% · 1.25T–1.5T 14%	$22k	$76k
Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?	Yes 96% · No 4%	$13k	$78k
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?	Yes 17% · No 84%	$13k	$107k
Will GameStop acquire eBay?	Yes 5% · No 95%	$12k	$46k

Order book · depth behind the odds

Order book

Yesbid 0.2¢ask 0.3¢spread 0.1¢mid 0.3¢

SizeBid

AskSize

1.2k0.2¢

0.3¢23

11k0.1¢

1.2¢229

16¢20

55¢125

55¢25

55¢5

55¢20

55¢25

55¢10

56¢20

Biggest holders · each side

Top holders

Wallet	Outcome	Shares	All-time P&L
xtxpleasecallme	Yes	465	$193k
plsnolose	Yes	353	$13k
Numitus1994	Yes	229	−$36k
BSS37	Yes	200	$8k
Biver52	Yes	158	$7k
zo8w3jj69vtb2	Yes	90	−$62.10
perepuk	Yes	78	$2k
donthackme	Yes	60	$714k
Dr.PNL	Yes	55	−$500k
planktonXD	Yes	34	$139k
0xa5ef39	No	2k	$0
sportkingzer	No	1	−$2k

Smart-money conviction · Markets

Smart-money conviction

1Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in November?$5k
2Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in November?$5k
3Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31?$4k
4Will GameStop acquire eBay?$3k
5Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?$925.36
6Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?$2k
7Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?$799.54
8Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?$948
9Will OpenAI's IPO valuation be between $1.5T and $1.75T?$404.29