No 89% · Yes 11%. Smart money leans Yes (1 ranked wallet, average entry 11¢). Volume $1.2k, liquidity $409. Trade it on Polymarket ↗ Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 15, 2026? | Yes 11% · No 90% | $306k |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes 18% · No 83% | $270k |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | Yes 5% · No 96% | $230k |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | Yes 12% · No 89% | $225k |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? | Yes 40% · No 60% | $197k |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026? | Yes 27% · No 74% | $194k |
| Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? | Yes 47% · No 54% | $107k |
| Iran leadership change by November 30? | Yes 7% · No 94% | $105k |
| Wallet | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| xtxpleasecallme | Yes | 168 |
| youtube-trader | Yes | 55 |
| V4grant | Yes | 53 |
| VonVonagh | Yes | 50 |
| vendeurdejamon | Yes | 27 |
| rexcom | Yes | 22 |
| 0xa39f…fbdb | Yes | 5 |
| Dapsy | No | 200 |
| radek44 | No | 131 |
| PPMT | No | 26 |
| AChad | No | 7 |
| high-beta-trading-only | No | 6 |
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