No won. Volume $2.9k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| 0x96cf… | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| 0xed64… | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| 0x3f87… | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| 0x5e4c… | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2? | Yes 40% · No 60% | $833k |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes 17% · No 84% | $553k |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 8? | Yes 1% · No 99% | $399k |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 4? | Yes 3% · No 97% | $369k |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 2, 2026? | Yes 0% · No 100% | $310k |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? | Yes 40% · No 61% | $258k |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15? | Yes 0% · No 100% | $247k |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 3? | Yes 7% · No 93% | $238k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| 0x51ca… | No | $1.44 |
| unoalef | Yes | $1.28 |
| 0x04ec… | No | $1.08 |
| N.sam | Yes | −$17.38 |
| equilibrist | Yes | −$4 |
| Roro22 | Yes | −$1 |
| mmdkrr | Yes | −$0.89 |
7 wallets held a position at the close. The 3 biggest winners took $4; the 4 biggest losers gave up $23. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
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