No won. Smart money backed Yes (3 ranked wallets, average entry 74¢) and lost. Volume $3.1k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| 0x5e4c… | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Republican Presidential Nominee 2028 | Ron DeSantis 13% · Joe Kent 2% · Donald Trump 1% | $4.1M |
| Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028 | Jon Ossoff 26% · Josh Shapiro 5% · Andy Beshear 3% | $2.6M |
| LoL: Gen.G vs LYON - Game 1 Winner | Gen.G 88% · LYON 12% | $1.7M |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | Yes 3% · No 97% | $1.6M |
| Fed Decision in December? | 25 bps increase 78% · No change 22% · 50+ bps increase 1% | $1.4M |
| LoL: Gen.G vs LYON (BO5) - Worlds Playoffs | Gen.G 91% · LYON 9% | $1.2M |
| Presidential Election Winner 2028 | Jon Ossoff 18% · JD Vance 17% · Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 13% | $932k |
| Game Handicap: GEN (-2.5) vs LYON (+2.5) | Gen.G 59% · LYON 42% | $876k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| Nobody23041 | No | $118.18 |
| AllyouneedisClaude | Yes | $8.53 |
| mrblarg64 | No | $6.98 |
| Mr.Gooner | No | $2.36 |
| maomao228 | No | $0.58 |
| Rambaldi.seeker | Yes | −$17.66 |
| PolyEGG | Yes | −$3.72 |
| RONALDOASET | Yes | −$2 |
| tweetmaster | Yes | −$1.44 |
| WMNB | Yes | −$1 |
| maomao228 | Yes | −$0.98 |
| 0xa5cb… | Yes | −$0.95 |
12 wallets held a position at the close. The 5 biggest winners took $137; the 7 biggest losers gave up $28. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
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