Yes won. Smart money backed No (4 ranked wallets, average entry 64¢) and lost. Volume $841k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
706 wallets held a position at the close. The 60 biggest winners took $94k; the 60 biggest losers gave up $38k. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
No ranked, Sharp or Whale wallet held this side.
Part of the Fed rate decision Polymarket dashboard. Browse every live market or the top wallets. Prefer code? The same data is a REST API and MCP server.
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap | $1.75–$2.0T 30% · $2.0–$2.25T 21% · $1.5–$1.75T 18% | $97k |
| Largest IPO by market cap in 2026? | SpaceX 53% · Anthropic 46% | $29k |
| Anthropic IPO Date | November 20 22% · No IPO by November 30, 2026 19% · November 19 18% | $28k |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $160 in November? | Yes 1% · No 99% | $27k |
| OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap | 1.5T+ 39% · No IPO by December 31, 2027 24% · 1.25T–1.5T 14% | $22k |
| Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026? | Yes 96% · No 4% | $13k |
| Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? | Yes 17% · No 84% | $13k |
| Will GameStop acquire eBay? | Yes 5% · No 95% | $12k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| 0x72a0… | Yes | $20k |
| Tart-Stirfry-Strait | Yes | $8k |
| polymarketbetter | Yes | $6k |
| yung-macro | Yes | $5k |
| 0xcfd7… | Yes | $5k |
| realizedlosses | Yes | $3k |
| VdeVolsa | Yes | $3k |
| Cyphercapital | Yes | $3k |
| 0x16ad… | Yes | $3k |
| notssf3 | Yes | $2k |
| 0xfac3… | Yes | $2k |
| kastetem | Yes | $2k |