No won. Smart money backed Yes (1 ranked wallet, average entry 50¢) and lost. Volume $46k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| 0x96cf… | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| 0xed64… | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| 0x3f87… | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| 0x5e4c… | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap | $1.5–$1.75T 30% · $1.75–$2.0T 23% · $2.0–$2.25T 19% | $144k |
| Largest IPO by market cap in 2026? | SpaceX 64% · Anthropic 32% | $115k |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in November? | Yes 2% · No 98% | $84k |
| Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? | Yes 14% · No 87% | $66k |
| Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026? | Yes 96% · No 4% | $33k |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $160 in November? | Yes 2% · No 98% | $25k |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in November? | Yes 6% · No 94% | $22k |
| Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,000 by end of December? | Yes 4% · No 96% | $21k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| headsh0t | No | $225.30 |
| TyphoonStruggle | No | $55 |
| elrah | No | $31.86 |
| itzzessss | No | $25.90 |
| 0x3c11… | No | $15.19 |
| VolokalnoS | No | $11.28 |
| SpyVsSpy | No | $10.98 |
| okx-uot | No | $10.91 |
| qifo | Yes | $9.90 |
| Dafdafv66 | No | $9.09 |
| SmartBoyBilly | No | $8 |
| Cbb. | No | $7.26 |
51 wallets held a position at the close. The 24 biggest winners took $455; the 27 biggest losers gave up $1.1k. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
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