What are the odds for “Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,400 in November?” on Polymarket?

No 96% · Yes 4%, on $2.5k of volume. The odds-history widget charts the last month; every number refreshes on your plan's cadence — 15 minutes on Hobby, every minute on Developer.

Who is the smart money on “Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,400 in November?”?

Smart money leans Yes (2 ranked wallets, average entry 3¢). The smart-money widget lists the ranked, Sharp and Whale wallets on each side with their shares, entry prices and track records; the 'follow' line summarises which side they favour.

Where does this data come from?

Polymarket odds, volume and liquidity from the public APIs, plus Polynyx's analytics layer: 500M+ on-chain fills rebuilt into wallet P&L, win rates and smart-money positioning, with arbitrage and market-maker bots filtered out. The wallet-level view of this market — every smart wallet by name with its P&L and trades — lives on Polynyx.

Can I make this my own dashboard?

Yes. Use this template clones the six widgets into your account; change the window, add a wallet, filter the tape to one side, and publish it as a page of its own.

Economics · Markets · live

Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,400 in November?

No 96% · Yes 4%. Smart money leans Yes (2 ranked wallets, average entry 3¢). Volume $2.5k, liquidity $16k. Trade it on Polymarket ↗ Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗

No
96%
Yes
4%
Volume
$2.5k
Liquidity
$16k

Trade like a whale.Every smart wallet on this market by name, their entries and the live tape — on Polynyx.Trade like a whale ↗

Smart wallets

Who holds each side.

Yes

4 wallets · 1,073 known shares

m3t64 - 815whale
entry 3¢ · all-time +$71k · win 49%
ng6000
entry 3¢ · all-time +$46k · win 43%
0xf08c…3295
entry — · all-time −$1.8k · win 32%
0x28a665
entry 7¢ · all-time +$429 · win 49%

No

0 wallets

No ranked, Sharp or Whale wallet holds this side.

More Markets markets

FAQ

What are the odds for “Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,400 in November?” on Polymarket?: No 96% · Yes 4%, on $2.5k of volume. The odds-history widget charts the last month; every number refreshes on your plan's cadence — 15 minutes on Hobby, every minute on Developer.
Who is the smart money on “Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,400 in November?”?: Smart money leans Yes (2 ranked wallets, average entry 3¢). The smart-money widget lists the ranked, Sharp and Whale wallets on each side with their shares, entry prices and track records; the 'follow' line summarises which side they favour.
Where does this data come from?: Polymarket odds, volume and liquidity from the public APIs, plus Polynyx's analytics layer: 500M+ on-chain fills rebuilt into wallet P&L, win rates and smart-money positioning, with arbitrage and market-maker bots filtered out. The wallet-level view of this market — every smart wallet by name with its P&L and trades — lives on Polynyx.
Can I make this my own dashboard?: Yes. Use this template clones the six widgets into your account; change the window, add a wallet, filter the tape to one side, and publish it as a page of its own.

Part of the Fed rate decision Polymarket dashboard. Browse every live market or the top wallets. Prefer code? The same data is a REST API and MCP server.

Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,400 in November?

live

Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,400 in November? · odds, 1 month

Market & odds history

Current odds

Market & odds history

96.1%

Smart money by side · known shares

Smart money on a market

Yes1k100%

Tape · this market, $500+

Live trade tape

No trades match these filters in the current window.

Markets markets by 24h volume

Live markets

Market	Odds	24h volume	Liquidity
Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap	$1.75–$2.0T 31% · $2.0–$2.25T 21% · $1.5–$1.75T 18%	$85k	$218k
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $160 in November?	Yes 1% · No 99%	$30k	$47k
Anthropic IPO Date	November 20 26% · No IPO by November 30, 2026 18% · November 19 18%	$29k	$26k
Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?	SpaceX 54% · Anthropic 47%	$24k	$143k
Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?	Yes 96% · No 4%	$13k	$93k
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in November?	Yes 4% · No 96%	$13k	$58k
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in November?	Yes 6% · No 94%	$13k	$53k
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?	Yes 17% · No 84%	$13k	$80k

Order book · depth behind the odds

Order book

Yesbid 1.8¢ask 6.1¢spread 4.3¢mid 4¢

SizeBid

AskSize

91.8¢

6.1¢40

201.7¢

7.1¢80

231.2¢

11¢8

1001.1¢

12¢12

201¢

13¢1.0k

280.7¢

17¢8

330.6¢

17¢8

360.5¢

17¢115

1.0k0.4¢

21¢19

1.2k0.3¢

21¢200

Biggest holders · each side

Top holders

Wallet	Outcome	Shares	Entry	Invested	All-time P&L
m3t64 - 815	Yes	889	3¢	$26.58	$71k
clauo	Yes	380	5¢	$19.80	−$1k
ng6000	Yes	115	3¢	$3.45	$46k
0x01ac…4406	Yes	100			$299.68
bZk0Uo	Yes	70	86¢	$60.20	$8k
Lesivv	Yes	60	3¢	$1.80	$4k
0xf08c…3295	Yes	60			−$2k
romanew-7-spread05	Yes	19			$2k
Scoopdewhoop	Yes	14	86¢	$12.04	$2k
0x28a665	Yes	9	7¢	$0.63	$429.17
Avamax	No	993	97¢	$191.09	$21k
berlinc	No	372	96¢	$358.80	$1k

Smart-money conviction · Markets

Smart-money conviction

1Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in November?$5k
2Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31?$4k
3Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in November?$5k
4Will GameStop acquire eBay?$3k
5Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $160 in November?$2k
6Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?$2k
7Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?$925.36
8Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?$799.54
9Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?$948
10Will OpenAI's IPO valuation be between $1.5T and $1.75T?$404.29