No won. Smart money backed Yes (1 ranked wallet, average entry 1¢) and lost. Volume $1.2k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
betty4 took +$6 on No from 89¢; the biggest loser gave up $20.
See every winner & loser ↗| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap | $1.25–$1.5T 34% · $1.5–$1.75T 26% · $1.75–$2.0T 16% | $211k |
| Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026? | Yes 88% · No 12% | $76k |
| Largest IPO by market cap in 2026? | SpaceX 88% · Anthropic 11% | $52k |
| Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026? | Yes 78% · No 22% | $51k |
| AI bubble burst in 2026? | Yes 9% · No 91% | $45k |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $160 in November? | Yes 1% · No 99% | $43k |
| Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $200 in November? | Yes 68% · No 33% | $37k |
| Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $210 end of November? | Yes 21% · No 79% | $30k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| betty4 | No | $5.50 |
| MrYanDao | No | $4.68 |
| test456y78 | No | $3.37 |
| 0x2c2b… | No | $2.85 |
| jdkfbsbdskjbfjksq | No | $1.11 |
| 0x1fe3… | Yes | −$20.46 |
| 0x0b87… | Yes | −$19.45 |
| LazarilloDTormes | Yes | −$13.00 |
| test456y78 | Yes | −$7.10 |
| wavesinthesky | Yes | −$5.10 |
10 wallets held a position at the close. The 5 biggest winners took $18; the 5 biggest losers gave up $65. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
Economics's smart-money board and the live whale tape — every wallet by name, with its entries — the free layer under this dashboard.
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