What are the odds for “Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,600 in November?” on Polymarket?

No 97% · Yes 3%, on $770 of volume. The odds-history widget charts the last month; every number refreshes on your plan's cadence — 15 minutes on Hobby, every minute on Developer.

Who is the smart money on “Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,600 in November?”?

The smart-money widget lists the ranked, Sharp and Whale wallets on each side with their shares, entry prices and track records; the 'follow' line summarises which side they favour.

Where does this data come from?

Polymarket odds, volume and liquidity from the public APIs, plus Polynyx's analytics layer: 500M+ on-chain fills rebuilt into wallet P&L, win rates and smart-money positioning, with arbitrage and market-maker bots filtered out. The wallet-level view of this market — every smart wallet by name with its P&L and trades — lives on Polynyx.

Can I make this my own dashboard?

Yes. Use this template clones the six widgets into your account; change the window, add a wallet, filter the tape to one side, and publish it as a page of its own.

Economics · Markets · live

Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,600 in November?

No 97% · Yes 3%. Volume $770, liquidity $1.5k. Trade it on Polymarket ↗ Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗

No
97%
Yes
3%
Volume
$770
Liquidity
$1.5k

Trade like a whale.Every smart wallet on this market by name, their entries and the live tape — on Polynyx.Trade like a whale ↗

Smart wallets

Who holds each side.

Yes

0 wallets

No ranked, Sharp or Whale wallet holds this side.

No

1 wallets · 301 known shares

sabsabinxzwhale
entry 96¢ · all-time +$85k · win 65%

More Markets markets

FAQ

What are the odds for “Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,600 in November?” on Polymarket?: No 97% · Yes 3%, on $770 of volume. The odds-history widget charts the last month; every number refreshes on your plan's cadence — 15 minutes on Hobby, every minute on Developer.
Who is the smart money on “Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,600 in November?”?: The smart-money widget lists the ranked, Sharp and Whale wallets on each side with their shares, entry prices and track records; the 'follow' line summarises which side they favour.
Where does this data come from?: Polymarket odds, volume and liquidity from the public APIs, plus Polynyx's analytics layer: 500M+ on-chain fills rebuilt into wallet P&L, win rates and smart-money positioning, with arbitrage and market-maker bots filtered out. The wallet-level view of this market — every smart wallet by name with its P&L and trades — lives on Polynyx.
Can I make this my own dashboard?: Yes. Use this template clones the six widgets into your account; change the window, add a wallet, filter the tape to one side, and publish it as a page of its own.

Part of the Fed rate decision Polymarket dashboard. Browse every live market or the top wallets. Prefer code? The same data is a REST API and MCP server.

Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,600 in November?

live

Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,600 in November? · odds, 1 month

Market & odds history

Current odds

Market & odds history

96.6%

Smart money by side · known shares

Smart money on a market

No301100%

Tape · this market, $500+

Live trade tape

No trades match these filters in the current window.

Markets markets by 24h volume

Live markets

Market	Odds	24h volume	Liquidity
Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap	$1.75–$2.0T 31% · $2.0–$2.25T 21% · $1.5–$1.75T 16%	$145k	$196k
Anthropic IPO Date	November 20 20% · No IPO by November 30, 2026 19% · November 19 18%	$33k	$18k
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $160 in November?	Yes 1% · No 99%	$29k	$45k
Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?	SpaceX 54% · Anthropic 46%	$29k	$77k
OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap	1.5T+ 39% · No IPO by December 31, 2027 25% · 1.25T–1.5T 14%	$22k	$78k
Largest Company end of December 2026?	NVIDIA 53% · Apple 44% · Alphabet 1%	$15k	$416k
Will GameStop acquire eBay?	Yes 6% · No 95%	$12k	$34k
How much will Anthropic raise in its IPO?	$95B to $105B 45% · $85B to $95B 25% · $105B to $115B 18%	$12k	$16k

Order book · depth behind the odds

Order book

Yesbid 2¢ask 4.9¢spread 2.9¢mid 3.5¢

SizeBid

AskSize

772¢

4.9¢75

221.5¢

5¢930

501.4¢

5.1¢100

91.3¢

9¢115

3001.2¢

16¢8

61.1¢

16¢8

201¢

16¢26

190.8¢

17¢41

4350.7¢

29¢5

1340.6¢

31¢21

Biggest holders · each side

Top holders

Wallet	Outcome	Shares	Entry	Invested	All-time P&L
wavesinthesky	Yes	110	5¢	$5.06	−$761.28
acal	Yes	100	4¢	$4.00	$16k
Lesivv	Yes	60	3¢	$1.80	$4k
0xf08c…3295	Yes	60	4¢	$2.34	−$2k
0xbbf686	Yes	47	4¢	$1.85	$45.03
ViscaElBarca	Yes	40	4¢	$1.60	−$49k
romanew-7-spread05	Yes	21	7¢	$1.50	$2k
galhammerman	Yes	21	5¢	$1.05	−$26k
Bearnaise	Yes	20	2¢	$0.44	−$639.97
0x40c7…b1e8	Yes	5	5¢	$0.25	$1k
sabsabinxz	No	301	96¢	$289.44	$85k
Avamax	No	116	95¢	$110.20	$21k

Smart-money conviction · Markets

Smart-money conviction

1Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in November?$5k
2Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in November?$5k
3Will GameStop acquire eBay?$3k
4Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?$925.36
5Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?$2k
6Will Anthropic's market cap be less than $1.25T at market close on IPO day?$953.61
7Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.25T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day?$913.84
8Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day?$891.89
9Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?$948