No 97% · Yes 3%. Smart money leans No (3 ranked wallets, average entry 95¢). Volume $29k, liquidity $16k. Trade it on Polymarket ↗ Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 15, 2026? | Yes 12% · No 89% | $308k |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes 18% · No 83% | $269k |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | Yes 5% · No 96% | $233k |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | Yes 12% · No 89% | $225k |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? | Yes 40% · No 60% | $213k |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026? | Yes 27% · No 74% | $205k |
| Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? | Yes 47% · No 54% | $118k |
| Iran leadership change by November 30? | Yes 7% · No 94% | $105k |
| Wallet | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| SitsToPee | Yes | 2k |
| 0x49F206 | Yes | 790 |
| fledger | Yes | 544 |
| goask | Yes | 500 |
| xtxpleasecallme | Yes | 244 |
| Numitus1994 | Yes | 192 |
| 73f44919CE0143F0e9a05F531f7C8B15c8a483a0. | Yes | 115 |
| Nayara.Rocha | Yes | 100 |
| 0x553324 | Yes | 70 |
| Enjoy72 | Yes | 63 |
| v.l | No | 1k |
| werffdsfa | No | 867 |
Part of the Geopolitics Polymarket dashboard. Browse every live market, the recently resolved markets or the top wallets. Prefer code? The same data is a REST API and MCP server.