No 100% · Yes 0%. Smart money leans Yes (2 ranked wallets, average entry 2¢). Volume $156k, liquidity $37k. Trade it on Polymarket ↗ Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
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No ranked, Sharp or Whale wallet holds this side.
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 2, 2026? | Yes 3% · No 97% | $276k |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2? | Yes 97% · No 3% | $169k |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | Yes 5% · No 96% | $123k |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 3? | Yes 98% · No 2% | $111k |
| Xi Jinping out before 2027? | Yes 2% · No 98% | $110k |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026? | Yes 27% · No 74% | $101k |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2? | Yes 99% · No 1% | $101k |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? | Yes 42% · No 58% | $79k |
| Wallet | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| donthackme | Yes | 4k |
| 0x6b11…38e8 | Yes | 4k |
| Jesuschristsuperstar | Yes | 4k |
| OpenSourceIntel | Yes | 3k |
| 0x50eac5 | Yes | 2k |
| alexzdrz | Yes | 2k |
| moneyBalll | Yes | 2k |
| M888 | Yes | 2k |
| bebetter | Yes | 2k |
| planktonXD | Yes | 1k |
| 0xa5ef39 | No | 44k |
| flow-trader-at-optiver | No | 24 |