No won. Smart money backed Yes (3 ranked wallets, average entry 1¢) and lost. Volume $2.0k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| 0x96cf… | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| 0xed64… | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| 0x3f87… | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| 0x5e4c… | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| When will Gemini Carbon be released? | November 9–November 15 76% · November 16–November 22 13% · November 2–November 8 8% | $30k |
| Gemini Carbon released on...? | November 10 38% · November 11 11% · November 9 7% | $15k |
| Which company has best AI model end of 2026? | Google 56% · Anthropic 39% · OpenAI 5% | $11k |
| Which company has the best AI model end of November? | Google 68% · Anthropic 30% · Meta 1% | $11k |
| Will Kimi K3.1 Pro debut at a score of at least 1490 by June 30, 2027? | Yes 10% · No 90% | $8k |
| When will GPT Astra 6.1+ be released? | November 2–November 8 71% · November 16–November 22 12% · November 9–November 15 7% | $7k |
| Gemini Carbon released by November 6, 2026? | Yes 6% · No 94% | $7k |
| Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by December 31, 2026? | Yes 98% · No 2% | $6k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| Mysaria | No | $2.59 |
| GingerMcKenna | No | $2.04 |
| 0xeaa3… | No | $1.28 |
| 0x4056… | No | $1.15 |
| lakatosnapoleon | No | $1.05 |
| Hugin-og-Munin | No | $0.55 |
| burja8 | Yes | −$2.20 |
| 80sdfs | Yes | −$0.62 |
8 wallets held a position at the close. The 6 biggest winners took $9; the 2 biggest losers gave up $3. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
No ranked, Sharp or Whale wallet held this side.
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