Phoenix Mercury won. Smart money backed Dallas Wings (30 ranked wallets, average entry 83¢) and lost. Volume $470k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| 0x5e4c… | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| AEK vs. Real Madrid CF | Real Madrid CF 80% · AEK 16% · Draw (AEK vs. Real Madrid CF) 14% | $5.7M |
| Republican Presidential Nominee 2028 | Ron DeSantis 15% · Brian Kemp 1% · Byron Donalds 1% | $3.3M |
| Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028 | Jon Ossoff 23% · Josh Shapiro 5% · James Talarico 2% | $2.0M |
| Fed Decision in December? | 25 bps increase 78% · No change 22% · 50+ bps increase 1% | $1.6M |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | Yes 2% · No 98% | $1.2M |
| Fenerbahçe SK vs. Liverpool FC | Liverpool FC 56% · Fenerbahçe SK 14% | $1.1M |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes 11% · No 90% | $777k |
| Presidential Election Winner 2028 | JD Vance 17% · Jon Ossoff 17% · Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 13% | $669k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| 0xa0f2… | Phoenix Mercury | $6k |
| analdesutructor | Phoenix Mercury | $3k |
| oyvierer | Phoenix Mercury | $1k |
| rocever | Phoenix Mercury | $948.48 |
| 0xc62e… | Phoenix Mercury | $906.20 |
| 0x404e… | Phoenix Mercury | $813.96 |
| 0x2f4d… | Phoenix Mercury | $702.50 |
| supertrader99 | Phoenix Mercury | $604.58 |
| milktea3 | Phoenix Mercury | $567.88 |
| 0xbb3e… | Phoenix Mercury | $532.73 |
| dummyricher | Phoenix Mercury | $529.64 |
| combty | Phoenix Mercury | $525.37 |
367 wallets held a position at the close. The 60 biggest winners took $27k; the 60 biggest losers gave up $38k. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
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