PortlandFire won. Smart money backed Seattle Storm (10 ranked wallets, average entry 39¢) and lost. Volume $270k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
325 wallets held a position at the close. The 60 biggest winners took $10k; the 60 biggest losers gave up $7.2k. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
Browse every live market or the top wallets. Prefer code? The same data is a REST API and MCP server.
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Which Senate Swing States will Republicans win? | None 25% · IA, KS 12% · IA 11% | $4.8M |
| Which party will win the House in 2026? | Democratic Party 95% · Republican Party 6% | $1.7M |
| Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms | Democrats Sweep 72% · R Senate, D House 23% · Republicans Sweep 5% | $1.4M |
| Texas Senate Election Winner | James Talarico (D) 71% · Ken Paxton (R) 29% | $646k |
| Michigan Senate Election Winner | Abdul El-Sayed (D) 82% · Mike Rogers (R) 19% | $571k |
| Iowa Senate Election Winner | Ashley Hinson (R) 59% · Josh Turek (D) 42% | $454k |
| Which party will win the Senate in 2026? | Democratic Party 73% · Republican Party 28% | $437k |
| Next French Presidential Election | David Lisnard 20% · Christine Lagarde 6% | $297k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| manxia | PortlandFire | $4k |
| 0x021c… | PortlandFire | $1k |
| IASLA | PortlandFire | $805.02 |
| chrxsontherun | PortlandFire | $520.41 |
| 0x2906… | PortlandFire | $416.48 |
| LightningAndTheThunder | PortlandFire | $390 |
| RoadTo1MillionUsd | PortlandFire | $279.80 |
| Magmag33 | PortlandFire | $222.25 |
| skytrader123 | PortlandFire | $194.82 |
| BETSANGANOU | PortlandFire | $176.29 |
| cao2 | PortlandFire | $173.04 |
| TheJewMamba | PortlandFire | $170.02 |