Kimberly Birrell won. Smart money backed Aoi Ito (3 ranked wallets, average entry 31¢) and lost. Volume $100k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Which Senate Swing States will Republicans win? (Build Your Map) | None 32% · IA 11% · IA, KS 7% | $4.9M |
| Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms | Democrats Sweep 73% · R Senate, D House 22% · Republicans Sweep 5% | $3.3M |
| Which party will win the House in 2026? | Democratic Party 95% · Republican Party 6% | $2.7M |
| Which party will win the Senate in 2026? | Democratic Party 74% · Republican Party 28% | $2.6M |
| Michigan Senate Election Winner | Abdul El-Sayed (D) 80% · Mike Rogers (R) 21% | $1.6M |
| Texas Senate Election Winner | James Talarico (D) 76% · Ken Paxton (R) 25% | $1.6M |
| Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes 0% · No 100% | $1.6M |
| Dota 2: potn9ki vs HellNight- (BO3) - Esports Pro Circuit Group C | potn9ki 65% · HellNight- 35% | $1.4M |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| 0xe713… | Kimberly Birrell | $3k |
| 0x02fd… | Kimberly Birrell | $1k |
| 0x896d… | Kimberly Birrell | $838 |
| realmadrid090 | Kimberly Birrell | $371.90 |
| tenet-bot | Kimberly Birrell | $281.43 |
| 0x249e… | Kimberly Birrell | $177.45 |
| 0x1fe8… | Kimberly Birrell | $128.92 |
| 0x568e… | Kimberly Birrell | $37.28 |
| fxxktennx | Kimberly Birrell | $32.80 |
| TuttyFruity | Kimberly Birrell | $25.64 |
| 0x64ec… | Kimberly Birrell | $24.45 |
| Hammock17 | Kimberly Birrell | $23.90 |
130 wallets held a position at the close. The 60 biggest winners took $6.0k; the 56 biggest losers gave up $1.6k. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
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