Kudermetova/Timofeeva won. Smart money backed Cho/Cho (5 ranked wallets, average entry 40¢) and lost. Volume $24k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
78 wallets held a position at the close. The 31 biggest winners took $4.7k; the 47 biggest losers gave up $6.1k. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
Browse every live market or the top wallets. Prefer code? The same data is a REST API and MCP server.
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Which Senate Swing States will Republicans win? | None 25% · IA, KS 12% · IA 11% | $4.8M |
| Which party will win the House in 2026? | Democratic Party 95% · Republican Party 6% | $1.7M |
| Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms | Democrats Sweep 72% · R Senate, D House 23% · Republicans Sweep 5% | $1.4M |
| Texas Senate Election Winner | James Talarico (D) 71% · Ken Paxton (R) 30% | $646k |
| Michigan Senate Election Winner | Abdul El-Sayed (D) 82% · Mike Rogers (R) 19% | $571k |
| Iowa Senate Election Winner | Ashley Hinson (R) 59% · Josh Turek (D) 42% | $454k |
| Which party will win the Senate in 2026? | Democratic Party 73% · Republican Party 28% | $437k |
| Next French Presidential Election | David Lisnard 20% · Christine Lagarde 6% | $297k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| lhetorar | Kudermetova/Timofeeva | $2k |
| dips. | Kudermetova/Timofeeva | $947.76 |
| Noteworthy-Cassava-Tooth | Kudermetova/Timofeeva | $278.13 |
| NotJump | Kudermetova/Timofeeva | $215 |
| kitopesivan | Kudermetova/Timofeeva | $213.32 |
| Robertdancce | Kudermetova/Timofeeva | $160.36 |
| smithagent | Kudermetova/Timofeeva | $137.18 |
| GameMaster2026 | Kudermetova/Timofeeva | $79.50 |
| keeptheblueflagflyinghigh | Kudermetova/Timofeeva | $76.86 |
| neutralwave23 | Kudermetova/Timofeeva | $55.40 |
| 0xaeb9… | Kudermetova/Timofeeva | $52.50 |
| 08s | Kudermetova/Timofeeva | $47.30 |