Sorana Cirstea won. Smart money backed Julia Grabher (9 ranked wallets, average entry 11¢) and lost. Volume $223k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
kitbakhtin took +$277 on Sorana Cirstea from 78¢; the biggest loser gave up $1.8k.
See every winner & loser ↗| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Nottingham Forest FC vs. Manchester City FC | Nottingham Forest FC 58% · Manchester City FC 21% | $1.2M |
| LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Gen.G (BO5) - Worlds Playoffs | Invictus Gaming 21% · Gen.G 80% | $1.1M |
| Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028 | Jon Ossoff 27% · Gavin Newsom 11% · Abdul El-Sayed 1% | $650k |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 7? | Yes 99% · No 1% | $642k |
| Presidential Election Winner 2028 | Jon Ossoff 18% · James Talarico 1% | $619k |
| Worlds 2026: Winner | Gen.G 51% · Bilibili Gaming 25% · T1 17% | $608k |
| Rolex Paris Masters: Casper Ruud vs Carlos Alcaraz | Casper Ruud 2% · Carlos Alcaraz 98% | $539k |
| New Zealand legislative election winner? | National Party 99% · Labour Party 1% | $506k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| kitbakhtin | Sorana Cirstea | $277.48 |
| sassasas | Sorana Cirstea | $163.62 |
| Cbrojasg | Sorana Cirstea | $157.21 |
| 0xd3f9… | Sorana Cirstea | $113.40 |
| temparal | Sorana Cirstea | $93.54 |
| 0x4c0c… | Sorana Cirstea | $64.53 |
| 0x6051… | Sorana Cirstea | $63.17 |
| DoubleCheeseBurguer | Sorana Cirstea | $37.99 |
| po1yqtdotcom | Sorana Cirstea | $33.35 |
| Glome | Sorana Cirstea | $29.00 |
| 0x5803… | Sorana Cirstea | $26.01 |
| MyUserName44 | Sorana Cirstea | $20 |
169 wallets held a position at the close. The 60 biggest winners took $1.4k; the 60 biggest losers gave up $5.5k. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
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