Rebeka Masarova won. Smart money backed Julia Grabher (6 ranked wallets, average entry 46¢) and lost. Volume $206k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms | Democrats Sweep 75% · R Senate, D House 20% · Republicans Sweep 5% | $7.4M |
| Which Senate Swing States will Republicans win? (Build Your Map) | None 32% · IA 11% · IA, KS 7% | $4.5M |
| Which party will win the House in 2026? | Democratic Party 95% · Republican Party 6% | $3.2M |
| Which party will win the Senate in 2026? | Democratic Party 75% · Republican Party 25% | $2.7M |
| Dota 2: potn9ki vs HellNight- (BO3) - Esports Pro Circuit Group C | potn9ki 50% · HellNight- 50% | $1.6M |
| Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes 0% · No 100% | $1.6M |
| Michigan Senate Election Winner | Abdul El-Sayed (D) 79% · Mike Rogers (R) 22% | $1.3M |
| Texas Senate Election Winner | James Talarico (D) 76% · Ken Paxton (R) 25% | $1.1M |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| zockdo | Rebeka Masarova | $244.04 |
| aplstrade | Rebeka Masarova | $198.27 |
| 0x2363… | Julia Grabher | $143.24 |
| KFCBD | Rebeka Masarova | $115.70 |
| 0x9807… | Rebeka Masarova | $100.96 |
| Prison-Crystal-Seminar0 | Rebeka Masarova | $76.39 |
| albumista | Rebeka Masarova | $71.75 |
| tigerwo | Rebeka Masarova | $61.60 |
| Stephenwq | Rebeka Masarova | $61.60 |
| Maryyyyyy | Rebeka Masarova | $58.70 |
| Ninjayyy | Rebeka Masarova | $57.86 |
| rate8caveassault | Rebeka Masarova | $56.25 |
286 wallets held a position at the close. The 60 biggest winners took $2.1k; the 60 biggest losers gave up $2.7k. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
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