Marta Kostyuk won. Smart money backed Jasmine Paolini (10 ranked wallets, average entry 36¢) and lost. Volume $5.2M. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Which Senate Swing States will Republicans win? (Build Your Map) | None 31% · IA 11% · IA, KS 7% | $5.0M |
| Which party will win the House in 2026? | Democratic Party 95% · Republican Party 6% | $2.8M |
| Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms | Democrats Sweep 72% · R Senate, D House 23% · Republicans Sweep 5% | $2.6M |
| Which party will win the Senate in 2026? | Democratic Party 74% · Republican Party 28% | $2.5M |
| Michigan Senate Election Winner | Abdul El-Sayed (D) 80% · Mike Rogers (R) 21% | $1.8M |
| Texas Senate Election Winner | James Talarico (D) 76% · Ken Paxton (R) 26% | $1.5M |
| Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-11-02? | Yes 45% · No 56% | $666k |
| Texas Governor Election Winner | Greg Abbott (R) 63% · Gina Hinojosa (D) 38% | $551k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| palegrit | Marta Kostyuk | $874k |
| ZizzWizz | Marta Kostyuk | $127k |
| hafhafhaf | Jasmine Paolini | $7k |
| hafhafhaf | Marta Kostyuk | $6k |
| riverskew | Marta Kostyuk | $2k |
| Andrii.Kharkiv | Marta Kostyuk | $2k |
| o1x777 | Marta Kostyuk | $2k |
| angelat0 | Marta Kostyuk | $1k |
| NeraZZ | Marta Kostyuk | $1k |
| 0xe4a0… | Marta Kostyuk | $885.75 |
| 0xe713… | Marta Kostyuk | $712.95 |
| yastp | Marta Kostyuk | $588.39 |
754 wallets held a position at the close. The 60 biggest winners took $1.0M; the 60 biggest losers gave up $80k. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
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