Marta Kostyuk won. Smart money backed Ashlyn Krueger (25 ranked wallets, average entry 31¢) and lost. Volume $1.0M. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| 0x5e4c… | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Which party will win the Senate in 2026? | Democratic Party 100% · Republican Party 0% | $11.7M |
| Texas Senate Election Winner | James Talarico (D) 100% · Ken Paxton (R) 0% | $8.1M |
| Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms | Democrats Sweep 100% · Republicans Sweep 0% | $7.4M |
| Texas Governor Election Winner | Gina Hinojosa (D) 99% · Greg Abbott (R) 1% | $4.3M |
| Michigan Senate Election Winner | Abdul El-Sayed (D) 99% · Mike Rogers (R) 2% | $3.6M |
| Maine Senate Election Winner | Troy Jackson (D) 96% · Susan Collins (R) 3% | $1.4M |
| Nebraska Senate Election Winner | Pete Ricketts (R) 90% · Independent 7% | $1.2M |
| Mississippi Senate Election Winner | Cindy Hyde-Smith (R) 95% · Scott Colom (D) 5% | $1.2M |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| ZizzWizz | Marta Kostyuk | $147k |
| 8a7sh2 | Marta Kostyuk | $4k |
| doutrustlight | Marta Kostyuk | $2k |
| Juan-Soto | Marta Kostyuk | $1k |
| cradlle | Marta Kostyuk | $659.02 |
| 1783056319714 | Marta Kostyuk | $608.00 |
| Artfulone | Marta Kostyuk | $545.83 |
| BarryRyan | Marta Kostyuk | $382.51 |
| 0x70dc… | Marta Kostyuk | $360 |
| 0xaa0e… | Marta Kostyuk | $358.80 |
| 0x792e… | Marta Kostyuk | $293.18 |
| Takeshirosoku | Marta Kostyuk | $252.02 |
546 wallets held a position at the close. The 60 biggest winners took $162k; the 60 biggest losers gave up $58k. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
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