Himeno Sakatsume won. Smart money backed Elena Pridankina (3 ranked wallets, average entry 32¢) and lost. Volume $295k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Which Senate Swing States will Republicans win? | None 26% · IA, KS 12% · MI 1% | $4.2M |
| Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms | Democrats Sweep 71% · R Senate, D House 24% · Republicans Sweep 6% | $2.5M |
| Which party will win the House in 2026? | Democratic Party 95% · Republican Party 6% | $1.7M |
| Texas Senate Election Winner | James Talarico (D) 71% · Ken Paxton (R) 31% | $1.2M |
| Michigan Senate Election Winner | Abdul El-Sayed (D) 76% · Mike Rogers (R) 26% | $991k |
| Next French Presidential Election | David Lisnard 15% · Jean-Luc Mélenchon 14% · Christine Lagarde 6% | $788k |
| Will Athletic Club win on 2026-11-01? | Yes 75% · No 26% | $786k |
| Which party will win the Senate in 2026? | Democratic Party 72% · Republican Party 28% | $603k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| Woaifacai | Himeno Sakatsume | $14k |
| keeptheblueflagflyinghigh | Himeno Sakatsume | $4k |
| jtwyslljy | Himeno Sakatsume | $4k |
| CandleHammerDrums | Himeno Sakatsume | $4k |
| 0x54ba… | Himeno Sakatsume | $3k |
| 0x2c33… | Himeno Sakatsume | $2k |
| 0x3ec3… | Himeno Sakatsume | $1k |
| 0x4132… | Himeno Sakatsume | $1k |
| lkjasdf | Himeno Sakatsume | $1k |
| pmcahbama | Himeno Sakatsume | $1k |
| MilesY | Himeno Sakatsume | $807.11 |
| lhetorar | Himeno Sakatsume | $664.61 |
186 wallets held a position at the close. The 60 biggest winners took $43k; the 60 biggest losers gave up $27k. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
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