Maja Chwalinska won. Smart money backed Iga Swiatek (12 ranked wallets, average entry 42¢) and lost. Volume $1.5M. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Which Senate Swing States will Republicans win? | None 26% · IA, KS 12% · IA 10% | $4.6M |
| Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms | Democrats Sweep 71% · R Senate, D House 24% · Republicans Sweep 5% | $1.7M |
| Which party will win the House in 2026? | Democratic Party 94% · Republican Party 6% | $1.4M |
| Browns vs. Steelers | Browns 17% · Steelers 84% | $1.0M |
| Spread: Steelers (-3.5) | Steelers 74% · Browns 27% | $934k |
| Ravens vs. Bills | Ravens 16% · Bills 85% | $898k |
| Raiders vs. Jets | Raiders 57% · Jets 43% | $876k |
| Michigan Senate Election Winner | Abdul El-Sayed (D) 73% · Mike Rogers (R) 28% | $830k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| HVAB | Maja Chwalinska | $37k |
| 0x0x23kjookhaiuohduoayh8c9 | Maja Chwalinska | $26k |
| yesmate | Maja Chwalinska | $8k |
| 0xaa08… | Maja Chwalinska | $3k |
| vladiva | Maja Chwalinska | $2k |
| 0x18ba… | Maja Chwalinska | $2k |
| dsdsqsddsq | Maja Chwalinska | $1k |
| AGUGava | Maja Chwalinska | $1k |
| Y33 | Maja Chwalinska | $1k |
| fortuneking | Maja Chwalinska | $1k |
| Djnjk | Maja Chwalinska | $1k |
| muchova19 | Maja Chwalinska | $1k |
519 wallets held a position at the close. The 60 biggest winners took $105k; the 60 biggest losers gave up $52k. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
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