Ilinca Amariei won. Smart money backed Caroline Werner (5 ranked wallets, average entry 48¢) and lost. Volume $136k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
243 wallets held a position at the close. The 60 biggest winners took $2.8k; the 60 biggest losers gave up $16k. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
Browse every live market or the top wallets. Prefer code? The same data is a REST API and MCP server.
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Which Senate Swing States will Republicans win? | None 26% · IA, KS 11% · IA 11% | $7.9M |
| Thunder vs. Rockets | Thunder 13% · Rockets 87% | $2.7M |
| Michigan Senate Election Winner | Abdul El-Sayed (D) 79% · Mike Rogers (R) 21% | $1.8M |
| Which party will win the House in 2026? | Democratic Party 95% · Republican Party 6% | $1.8M |
| Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms | Democrats Sweep 72% · R Senate, D House 24% · Republicans Sweep 5% | $1.5M |
| Spread: Rockets (-2.5) | Rockets 87% · Thunder 14% | $1.3M |
| Nebraska Senate Election Winner | Pete Ricketts (R) 74% · Independent 26% | $779k |
| Texas Senate Election Winner | James Talarico (D) 71% · Ken Paxton (R) 30% | $634k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| 0xd3f9… | Ilinca Amariei | $617.03 |
| Shawnyou | Ilinca Amariei | $488.24 |
| pilotguy | Ilinca Amariei | $179.19 |
| for-new-67 | Ilinca Amariei | $107.87 |
| HeartyCoast1352 | Ilinca Amariei | $103.70 |
| Lovem0ney | Ilinca Amariei | $92.46 |
| Kingjames23la | Ilinca Amariei | $84.85 |
| lavendergooms | Ilinca Amariei | $83.65 |
| Forkify-002 | Ilinca Amariei | $79.77 |
| zahara-003 | Ilinca Amariei | $72.36 |
| forki001 | Ilinca Amariei | $67.18 |
| 0xc30d… | Ilinca Amariei | $57 |