Teodora Kostovic won. Smart money backed Anastasia Zakharova (3 ranked wallets, average entry 55¢) and lost. Volume $526k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Which Senate Swing States will Republicans win? | None 26% · IA, KS 12% · IA 11% | $3.9M |
| Liverpool FC vs. Arsenal FC | Arsenal FC 61% · Draw (Liverpool FC vs. Arsenal FC) 25% · Liverpool FC 15% | $1.5M |
| Which party will win the House in 2026? | Democratic Party 95% · Republican Party 6% | $1.4M |
| Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms | Democrats Sweep 71% · R Senate, D House 23% · Republicans Sweep 5% | $1.4M |
| Liverpool FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5 | Over 56% · Under 45% | $1.3M |
| Browns vs. Steelers | Browns 35% · Steelers 66% | $880k |
| Spread: Steelers (-3.5) | Steelers 50% · Browns 50% | $684k |
| Texas Senate Election Winner | James Talarico (D) 71% · Ken Paxton (R) 29% | $594k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| CandleHammerDrums | Teodora Kostovic | $9k |
| chiefphi | Teodora Kostovic | $2k |
| 0xa34f… | Teodora Kostovic | $975.04 |
| PreserveGain | Teodora Kostovic | $908.80 |
| not4fun | Teodora Kostovic | $626.66 |
| babuinbob | Teodora Kostovic | $523.24 |
| Zelenskys-suit | Teodora Kostovic | $423.54 |
| rocket2themoon | Teodora Kostovic | $407.51 |
| avotrade | Teodora Kostovic | $367.39 |
| ShoveIsAllYouNeed | Teodora Kostovic | $325 |
| 0x1fe8… | Teodora Kostovic | $261.04 |
| ARBaccDontFollow | Teodora Kostovic | $224.38 |
265 wallets held a position at the close. The 60 biggest winners took $20k; the 60 biggest losers gave up $31k. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
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