No won. Smart money backed Yes (1 ranked wallet, average entry 2¢) and lost. Volume $1.5k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| 0x5e4c… | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap | $1.75–$2.0T 27% · $1.5–$1.75T 24% · $2.0–$2.25T 17% | $141k |
| Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? | Yes 8% · No 92% | $88k |
| Largest Company end of December 2026? | Apple 59% · NVIDIA 39% · Alphabet 1% | $87k |
| Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by March 31, 2027? | Yes 19% · No 82% | $63k |
| Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? | Yes 72% · No 28% | $53k |
| Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026? | Yes 90% · No 10% | $52k |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in November? | Yes 2% · No 99% | $49k |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $160 in November? | Yes 1% · No 99% | $36k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| EgoVolae | No | $14.24 |
| zhiquyipiao | No | $11.65 |
| 0x06ce...c70b8b | No | $0.71 |
| rizotor | Yes | −$17 |
| test456y78 | Yes | −$14.56 |
| wavesinthesky | Yes | −$2.07 |
6 wallets held a position at the close. The 3 biggest winners took $27; the 3 biggest losers gave up $34. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
No ranked, Sharp or Whale wallet held this side.
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