Up won. Smart money backed Down (2 ranked wallets, average entry 75¢) and lost. Volume $131k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
149 wallets held a position at the close. The 60 biggest winners took $5.1k; the 60 biggest losers gave up $8.4k. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
Browse every live market or the top wallets. Prefer code? The same data is a REST API and MCP server.
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Which Senate Swing States will Republicans win? | None 25% · IA, KS 12% · IA 11% | $4.8M |
| Which party will win the House in 2026? | Democratic Party 95% · Republican Party 6% | $1.7M |
| Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms | Democrats Sweep 72% · R Senate, D House 23% · Republicans Sweep 5% | $1.4M |
| Texas Senate Election Winner | James Talarico (D) 71% · Ken Paxton (R) 30% | $646k |
| Michigan Senate Election Winner | Abdul El-Sayed (D) 82% · Mike Rogers (R) 19% | $571k |
| Iowa Senate Election Winner | Ashley Hinson (R) 59% · Josh Turek (D) 42% | $454k |
| Which party will win the Senate in 2026? | Democratic Party 73% · Republican Party 28% | $437k |
| Next French Presidential Election | David Lisnard 20% · Christine Lagarde 6% | $297k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| SJHTheprophet | Up | $1k |
| prospective | Up | $680.81 |
| BitSpawn | Up | $637.45 |
| winwinwin888888 | Up | $484.84 |
| one01coniyr | Up | $372.07 |
| incorporated | Up | $273.05 |
| Niakris | Up | $208.63 |
| 0x8c1b… | Up | $208.12 |
| headsh0t | Down | $154.02 |
| mon1sy | Up | $107.92 |
| C31olo | Up | $90.99 |
| defiwalker | Up | $84.99 |