What are the odds for “Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on November 2?” on Polymarket?

Up 59% · Down 41%, on $244 of volume. The odds-history widget charts the last month; every number refreshes on your plan's cadence — 15 minutes on Hobby, every minute on Developer.

Who is the smart money on “Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on November 2?”?

Smart money leans Down (1 ranked wallet, average entry 42¢). The smart-money widget lists the ranked, Sharp and Whale wallets on each side with their shares, entry prices and track records; the 'follow' line summarises which side they favour.

Where does this data come from?

Polymarket odds, volume and liquidity from the public APIs, plus Polynyx's analytics layer: 500M+ on-chain fills rebuilt into wallet P&L, win rates and smart-money positioning, with arbitrage and market-maker bots filtered out. The wallet-level view of this market — every smart wallet by name with its P&L and trades — lives on Polynyx.

Can I make this my own dashboard?

Yes. Use this template clones the six widgets into your account; change the window, add a wallet, filter the tape to one side, and publish it as a page of its own.

Economics · Markets · live

Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on November 2?

Up 59% · Down 41%. Smart money leans Down (1 ranked wallet, average entry 42¢). Volume $244, liquidity $384. Trade it on Polymarket ↗ Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗

Up
59%
Down
41%
Volume
$244
Liquidity
$384

Trade like a whale.Every smart wallet on this market by name, their entries and the live tape — on Polynyx.Trade like a whale ↗

Smart wallets

Who holds each side.

Up

0 wallets

No ranked, Sharp or Whale wallet holds this side.

Down

1 wallets · 103 known shares

ng6000
entry 42¢ · all-time +$46k · win 43%

More Markets markets

FAQ

What are the odds for “Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on November 2?” on Polymarket?: Up 59% · Down 41%, on $244 of volume. The odds-history widget charts the last month; every number refreshes on your plan's cadence — 15 minutes on Hobby, every minute on Developer.
Who is the smart money on “Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on November 2?”?: Smart money leans Down (1 ranked wallet, average entry 42¢). The smart-money widget lists the ranked, Sharp and Whale wallets on each side with their shares, entry prices and track records; the 'follow' line summarises which side they favour.
Where does this data come from?: Polymarket odds, volume and liquidity from the public APIs, plus Polynyx's analytics layer: 500M+ on-chain fills rebuilt into wallet P&L, win rates and smart-money positioning, with arbitrage and market-maker bots filtered out. The wallet-level view of this market — every smart wallet by name with its P&L and trades — lives on Polynyx.
Can I make this my own dashboard?: Yes. Use this template clones the six widgets into your account; change the window, add a wallet, filter the tape to one side, and publish it as a page of its own.

Part of the Fed rate decision Polymarket dashboard. Browse every live market or the top wallets. Prefer code? The same data is a REST API and MCP server.

Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on November 2?

live

Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on November 2? · odds, 1 month

Market & odds history

Current odds

Market & odds history

59%

Smart money by side · known shares

Smart money on a market

Down103100%

Tape · this market, $500+

Live trade tape

No trades match these filters in the current window.

Markets markets by 24h volume

Live markets

Market	Odds	24h volume	Liquidity
Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap	$1.75–$2.0T 31% · $2.0–$2.25T 21% · $1.5–$1.75T 16%	$145k	$196k
Anthropic IPO Date	November 20 20% · No IPO by November 30, 2026 19% · November 19 18%	$33k	$18k
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $160 in November?	Yes 1% · No 99%	$29k	$45k
Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?	SpaceX 54% · Anthropic 46%	$29k	$77k
OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap	1.5T+ 39% · No IPO by December 31, 2027 25% · 1.25T–1.5T 14%	$22k	$78k
Largest Company end of December 2026?	NVIDIA 53% · Apple 44% · Alphabet 1%	$15k	$416k
Will GameStop acquire eBay?	Yes 6% · No 95%	$12k	$34k
How much will Anthropic raise in its IPO?	$95B to $105B 45% · $85B to $95B 25% · $105B to $115B 18%	$12k	$16k

Order book · depth behind the odds

Order book

Upbid 55¢ask 63¢spread 8¢mid 59¢

SizeBid

AskSize

11155¢

63¢100

22054¢

64¢7

2052¢

66¢20

5051¢

90¢22

8050¢

91¢39

1839¢

93¢50

11838¢

95¢134

56¢

96¢10

2002¢

98¢210

2311¢

99¢251

Biggest holders · each side

Top holders

Wallet	Outcome	Shares	Entry	Invested	All-time P&L
polksilko	Up	134	60¢	$80.00	−$2k
meathead2000 - 29012	Up	103	58¢	$60	−$1k
a5533	Up	2			−$8k
0xa15b…d178	Up	2	57¢	$1	$510.31
jeev	Down	112			−$3k
ng6000	Down	103	42¢	$43.45	$46k
hwidelance	Down	20	40¢	$8	$10k
pepe-15m	Down	2	45¢	$1	−$453.04
0xec0a9a	Down	2	47¢	$1	−$19.05
Wuestenigel	Down	2	43¢	$0.75	−$28.33

Smart-money conviction · Markets

Smart-money conviction

1Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in November?$5k
2Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in November?$5k
3Will GameStop acquire eBay?$3k
4Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?$925.36
5Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?$2k
6Will Anthropic's market cap be less than $1.25T at market close on IPO day?$953.61
7Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.25T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day?$913.84
8Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day?$891.89
9Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?$948