Down won. Smart money backed Up (2 ranked wallets, average entry 38¢) and lost. Volume $1.1k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Fed Decision in December? | 25 bps increase 66% · No change 33% · 25 bps decrease 1% | $2.1M |
| Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028 | Jon Ossoff 26% · Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 17% · Kamala Harris 4% | $1.1M |
| Presidential Election Winner 2028 | Jon Ossoff 21% · JD Vance 19% · Kamala Harris 3% | $1.0M |
| Jaguars vs. Ravens | Jaguars 79% · Ravens 21% | $809k |
| Magic vs. Suns | Magic 48% · Suns 52% | $631k |
| Republican Presidential Nominee 2028 | J.D. Vance 38% · Marco Rubio 20% · Pete Hegseth 0% | $605k |
| Spread: Warriors (-6.5) | Warriors 41% · Heat 59% | $569k |
| Blues vs. Devils | Blues 20% · Devils 81% | $545k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| 0x1bc3… | Down | $71.05 |
| minusalpha1 | Down | $4.80 |
| 0x74f7… | Down | $4.80 |
| M6vT3cL8wK | Down | $3.44 |
| mrluckyguess | Down | $2.87 |
| febels | Down | $2.66 |
| 0x06b2… | Down | $2.47 |
| llamanow | Up | −$55.83 |
| CERTova | Up | −$32.42 |
| alpharo27 | Up | −$7.81 |
| 0x3be0… | Up | −$7.05 |
| kevincassa | Up | −$4.75 |
15 wallets held a position at the close. The 7 biggest winners took $92; the 8 biggest losers gave up $115. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
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