Up won. Smart money backed Down (1 ranked wallet, average entry 45¢) and lost. Volume $0. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Which Senate Swing States will Republicans win? (Build Your Map) | None 32% · IA 9% · IA, KS 7% | $3.9M |
| Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms | Democrats Sweep 72% · R Senate, D House 23% · Republicans Sweep 6% | $2.4M |
| Which party will win the House in 2026? | Democratic Party 95% · Republican Party 6% | $2.4M |
| Which party will win the Senate in 2026? | Democratic Party 73% · Republican Party 28% | $2.3M |
| Texas Senate Election Winner | James Talarico (D) 75% · Ken Paxton (R) 27% | $1.4M |
| Michigan Senate Election Winner | Abdul El-Sayed (D) 79% · Mike Rogers (R) 21% | $1.3M |
| Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Beijing Group B | PARIVISION 80% · G2 20% | $967k |
| Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-11-02? | Yes 45% · No 56% | $600k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| kevincassa | Up | $20.00 |
| randombuys | Up | $9.33 |
| mrdy | Up | $3.55 |
| iwanek23 | Up | $3.55 |
| lunarshadow1 | Up | $2.62 |
| 0x2459… | Up | $2.35 |
| angelsanddemons | Up | $1.80 |
| shvlad | Up | $0.95 |
| alpharo27 | Down | −$53.40 |
| randombuys | Down | −$8.70 |
| mrdy | Down | −$3.70 |
| 0xf575… | Down | −$3.10 |
14 wallets held a position at the close. The 8 biggest winners took $44; the 6 biggest losers gave up $72. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
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