Up won. Smart money backed Down (1 ranked wallet, average entry 54¢) and lost. Volume $23. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
karibirkiss took +$5 on Up from 38¢; the biggest loser gave up $5.
See every winner & loser ↗| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Gen.G (BO5) - Worlds Playoffs | Invictus Gaming 2% · Gen.G 98% | $3.7M |
| LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Gen.G - Game 3 Winner | Invictus Gaming 13% · Gen.G 88% | $3.4M |
| Worlds 2026: Winner | Gen.G 62% · Bilibili Gaming 22% · T1 16% | $975k |
| Game Handicap: GEN (-2.5) vs Invictus Gaming (+2.5) | Gen.G 86% · Invictus Gaming 15% | $638k |
| Next French Presidential Election | Marine Le Pen 45% · David Lisnard 15% · Jean-Luc Mélenchon 14% | $606k |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 7? | Yes 100% · No 0% | $567k |
| New Zealand legislative election winner? | National Party 98% · Labour Party 3% | $495k |
| Iowa vs. Northwestern | Iowa 62% · Northwestern 39% | $456k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| karibirkiss | Up | $4.89 |
| drfc4eybh7i8 | Up | $4.18 |
| PredictMILSON | Up | $3.60 |
| 0x5d54… | Up | $2.70 |
| ethan991 | Up | $1.17 |
| timttt | Up | $1.14 |
| 0xf2a1… | Up | $1.05 |
| 0x0fd5… | Up | $0.76 |
| PBot-4 | Down | −$5.10 |
| sab0tage | Down | −$5 |
| GokuxLeto | Down | −$2.88 |
| soswald1 | Down | −$0.53 |
12 wallets held a position at the close. The 8 biggest winners took $19; the 4 biggest losers gave up $14. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
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