0x28b291aa82da13e1d58993873806c92908d5eb4f
libratus1 on Polymarket: $60k total P&L, 68% win rate, 1,154 markets traded, $3.4M volume.
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| Title | Outcome | Size | Avg Price | Cur Price | Cash Pnl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Anthropic be the first company to have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026? | No | $3k | 87¢ | 84¢ | −$104.05 |
| Will Moonshot have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026? | No | $1k | 86¢ | 97¢ | $155.19 |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1510? | No | $1k | 66¢ | 80¢ | $185.12 |
| Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1600 by December 31? | No | $500.55 | 91¢ | 91¢ | $2.25 |
| Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1550 by December 31? | No | $530.74 | 84¢ | 68¢ | −$83.34 |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1495? | Yes | $1k | 75¢ | 25¢ | −$513.56 |
| Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1540 by December 31? | No | $418.44 | 73¢ | 53¢ | −$80.09 |
| Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by December 31, 2026? | Yes | $86.12 | 90¢ | 97¢ | $6.16 |
| Will SpaceXAI be the third-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of October 2026? | No | $84 | 94¢ | 99¢ | $4.30 |
| Will no company have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026? | Yes | $113.83 | 83¢ | 63¢ | −$23.19 |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1480? | Yes | $252.11 | 78¢ | 25¢ | −$134.79 |
| Will Dreamcash launch a token by December 31, 2026? | No | $43.75 | 89¢ | 93¢ | $1.75 |
| Handle | Pnl | Pnl Month | Roi | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LEEEROYJENKINS | −$3.7M | $5.2M | -9.9% | $26.1M |
| OhWhenTheReds | $301k | $1.9M | 2.9% | $11.7M |
| theowalcott | $708k | $1.9M | 4.3% | $19.5M |
| joseph00677 | $1.3M | $1.3M | 11.9% | $47.1M |
| 3edmond.dantes | $2.3M | $655k | -3% | $29.8M |
| ArielFilipino | $267k | $641k | 13.9% | $4.5M |
| DelidelaDele | $291k | $627k | 13.9% | $2.3M |
| CHZHSHCH | $646k | $625k | -4.1% | $4.9M |
| plonker2026 | −$619k | $537k | -4.8% | $23.6M |
| nb1985 | −$136k | $520k | 3.7% | $6.4M |