0x48ecc049f171a8c7758e5d351e5f6c3c6df58f36
machiavelia on Polymarket: $86k total P&L, 51% win rate, 1,331 markets traded, $1.4M volume.
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| Title | Outcome | Size | Avg Price | Cur Price | Cash Pnl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9.0 or above earthquake before 2027? | No | $2k | 31¢ | 97¢ | $1k |
| Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms? | No | $1k | 44¢ | 99¢ | $736.58 |
| Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027? | No | $928 | 43¢ | 99¢ | $520.61 |
| Lee Jae-myung out as president of South Korea in 2026? | No | $928 | 43¢ | 97¢ | $502.05 |
| Will a Chinese company have the best AI model by December 31? | No | $435.31 | 41¢ | 94¢ | $228.54 |
| Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | No | $362 | 44¢ | 98¢ | $196.38 |
| Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 0.5% or lower before 2027? | No | $174.17 | 42¢ | 98¢ | $96.58 |
| Will Hillary Clinton be arrested before 2027? | No | $70.10 | 42¢ | 97¢ | $38.38 |
| Will Delcy Rodríguez be the next leader out before 2027? | No | $1.58 | 47¢ | 98¢ | $0.81 |
| Handle | Pnl | Pnl Month | Roi | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LEEEROYJENKINS | −$3.7M | $5.2M | -9.9% | $26.1M |
| OhWhenTheReds | $301k | $1.9M | 2.9% | $11.7M |
| theowalcott | $708k | $1.9M | 4.3% | $19.5M |
| joseph00677 | $1.3M | $1.3M | 11.9% | $47.1M |
| 3edmond.dantes | $2.3M | $655k | -3% | $29.8M |
| ArielFilipino | $267k | $641k | 13.9% | $4.5M |
| DelidelaDele | $291k | $627k | 13.9% | $2.3M |
| CHZHSHCH | $646k | $625k | -4.1% | $4.9M |
| plonker2026 | −$619k | $537k | -4.8% | $23.6M |
| nb1985 | −$136k | $520k | 3.8% | $6.4M |