0x4aea779b14c7c8dad013ee16a432661f7652faae
spirited0127 has lost $300 on Polymarket across 1,898 markets, winning 69% of the ones that resolved. Crypto is the strength: $28 over 35 positions. Right now it holds 14 open positions worth $260, the largest on “Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?” (No). It spreads small stakes widely, about $227 per market. Full profile on Polynyx ↗
| Market | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? | No | 29 |
| Will Ethereum dip to $1,250 by December 31, 2026? | No | 23 |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | Yes | 23 |
| Will oil be below $85 on November 2 and the Republicans win the Senate? | No | 21 |
| Will the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch by December 31, 2026? | No | 23 |
| Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | No | 22 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | No | 22 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | No | 22 |
| Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | No | 21 |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? | No | 22 |
| Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | No | 21 |
| Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | No | 22 |
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| 0xa19c… | $769k | $620k |
| 0xe5e1… | $225k | $312k |
| A1729 | $207k | $181k |
| oxe78sh4w98 | $74k | $175k |
| ApexUpDown | −$5k | $173k |
| andy8980 | $163k | $163k |
| RLWG | $126k | $162k |
| rekt-prediction | $134k | $138k |
| Telawin | −$31k | $136k |
| kk7777777 | −$107k | $128k |
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