0x501fd2c63c8ed110fbac12ee6f285550a007f746
Alphie on Polymarket: -$14k total P&L, 27% win rate, 394 markets traded, $773k volume.
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| Title | Outcome | Size | Avg Price | Cur Price | Cash Pnl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will "Remain" win the Alberta independence referendum by 40–60%? | Yes | $81.21 | 49¢ | 99¢ | $40.11 |
| Will OpenAI be the second-best AI Agent Lab at the end of October 2026? | Yes | $49.38 | 81¢ | 85¢ | $1.98 |
| Will "Leave" win any Alberta electoral division in the independence referendum? | Yes | $35.41 | 85¢ | 98¢ | $4.84 |
| Will the Bank of Canada make no change to the target for the overnight rate at the October interest rate announcement? | No | $39.68 | 76¢ | 81¢ | $2.16 |
| Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026? | Yes | $1k | 5¢ | 2¢ | −$32.26 |
| Will "Earrings – Malcom Todd" be the #2 song in the US for 2026? | Yes | $32.26 | 31¢ | 33¢ | $0.48 |
| Papertrade FDV above $50M one day after launch? | No | $19.01 | 53¢ | 47¢ | −$1.16 |
| Will Anthropic be the second-best AI Agent Lab at the end of October 2026? | Yes | $75.82 | 7¢ | 4¢ | −$2.00 |
| Will "Remain" win the Alberta independence referendum by 20–40%? | Yes | $641.93 | 17¢ | 0¢ | −$107.11 |
| Will "Remain" win the Alberta independence referendum by 60–80%? | Yes | $296.69 | 24¢ | 1¢ | −$67.63 |
| Will "Leave" win the Alberta independence referendum? | Yes | $3k | 3¢ | 0¢ | −$92.40 |
| Will Japan's core CPI increase by between 3.5 and 3.9% in 2026? | Yes | $543.00 | 1¢ | 0¢ | −$3.91 |
| Handle | Pnl | Pnl Month | Roi | Win Rate | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| cat-dog | $37k | $9k | 9.5% | 73% | $549k |
| e46m3 | $25k | $8k | 4.2% | 61% | $22.3M |
| merod | $13k | $7k | 6.2% | 36.8% | $2.3M |
| PiMaak | $9k | $7k | 1.4% | 62.4% | $1.1M |
| shovelingdigging | $20k | $7k | 4.4% | 64.6% | $1.4M |
| fanat12 | $19k | $6k | 1.7% | 44.9% | $2.1M |
| JokerTheClown | $6k | $6k | 6.4% | 32.3% | $1.5M |
| dromedaryy | $6k | $6k | 3.5% | 41.2% | $12.7M |
| 0x9199… | $61k | $6k | 1.5% | 52.5% | $3.8M |
| SnipleRiffle | $10k | $5k | 25.2% | 97.7% | $285k |