0x53e55bc7cb3d67ad177c023ce891ad076a9d6177
Arbguy has made $266k on Polymarket across 1,062 markets, winning 44% of the ones that resolved — $357k realized and -$92k still open. Politics is the strength: $56k over 17 positions, mostly Geopolitics markets, with Tech & Science next at $9.3k. That puts it #487 of the 1,000 most profitable wallets, and #103 in Politics. Right now it holds 21 open positions worth $62k, the largest on “Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?” (Yes). It trades size, averaging $61k of volume per market. Full profile on Polynyx ↗
| Market | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes | 155k |
| Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 1.6M |
| Will Rahm Emanuel win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 893k |
| Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 50k |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | Yes | 155k |
| Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 107k |
| Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | Yes | 89k |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | Yes | 464 |
| Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? | Yes | 12k |
| Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, and Maine, and lose Kansas, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? | Yes | 350k |
| Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, and Texas, and lose Kansas, Maine, Michigan, and Ohio? | Yes | 175k |
| Will Republicans win Iowa, and lose Alaska, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? | Yes | 152k |
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| ImJustKen | $2.0M | $1.6M |
| timetowander | $1.1M | $1.3M |
| CoffeeDespiser | $1.1M | $993k |
| Abkha | $901k | $901k |
| LlamaLoco0000 | $790k | $865k |
| 0xa3a4… | $1.6M | $850k |
| eventalpha26 | $845k | $845k |
| flawfence | $1.1M | $827k |
| duderr | $1.7M | $809k |
| The Spirit of Ukraine>UMA | $1.6M | $711k |
The same wallet's all-time P&L card, live from Polynyx, and every ranked Politics wallet by name — free to browse, bots filtered.
See the US politics Polymarket dashboard for the whole category. Browse the top wallets or every live market. Prefer code? The same data is a REST API and MCP server.