0x5da5db16e8424cd2a7a4a3920dd6ccada42ce620
alpaca has lost $6.1k on Polymarket across 307 markets, winning 37% of the ones that resolved — -$3.3k realized and -$2.8k still open. Esports is the strength: $3.9k over 105 positions, mostly Dota 2 markets. Right now it holds 19 open positions worth $2.3k, the largest on “Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?” (Yes). It spreads small stakes widely, about $1.0k per market. Full profile on Polynyx ↗
| Market | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? | Yes | 8k |
| Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027? | No | 8k |
| Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 495 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | Yes | 2k |
| Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027? | Yes | 3k |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 1k |
| Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31? | Yes | 529 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 352 |
| Ukraine agrees to limit size of armed forces by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 999 |
| Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 469 |
| Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Qatar / UAE before 2027? | Yes | 1k |
| Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 406 |
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| Mooseborzoiii | $1.3M | $7.6M |
| Diabolical-Prize | $745k | $5.9M |
| lllllllIlll | −$54k | $3.2M |
| jakepaulthegoat2008 | −$1.4M | $2.1M |
| THEHIGHLIFE | $2.4M | $1.6M |
| CORGII | −$80k | $1.6M |
| juice-fruit | $268k | $1.4M |
| 0xe16d… | −$527k | $1.3M |
| fantasy7788 | $140k | $1.3M |
| JohnLKellyJr | $150k | $1.2M |
See the League of Legends Polymarket dashboard for the whole category. Browse the top wallets or every live market. Prefer code? The same data is a REST API and MCP server.