0x63c652270a37e53a170303b6b264a2aa835743a5
big-short on Polymarket: $55k total P&L, 70% win rate, 1,312 markets traded, $1.2M volume.
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| Title | Outcome | Size | Avg Price | Cur Price | Cash Pnl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1550 by December 31? | No | $3k | 30¢ | 75¢ | $1k |
| Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1700 by December 31? | No | $1k | 88¢ | 97¢ | $121.55 |
| Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1650 by December 31? | No | $616.92 | 83¢ | 97¢ | $83.64 |
| Will no company have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026? | Yes | $554.82 | 24¢ | 73¢ | $267.07 |
| Will Trump launch a coin by December 31? | No | $292.70 | 76¢ | 93¢ | $49.76 |
| Will Venezuelan crude oil production reach 1.4m barrels per day in 2026? | No | $60 | 56¢ | 94¢ | $22.59 |
| Will SpaceX have between 160-179 launches in 2026? | Yes | $52.53 | 21¢ | 1¢ | −$10.14 |
| Handle | Pnl | Pnl Month | Roi | Win Rate | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JnStrtPrdctnMrkts | $417k | $323k | 2.8% | 85.7% | $15.6M |
| 0xe5e1… | $209k | $272k | 22.7% | 81.8% | $933k |
| A1729 | $190k | $168k | -1.4% | 33.8% | $3.3M |
| andy8980 | $163k | $163k | 18.6% | 86.7% | $913k |
| En11006 | $128k | $141k | 8.3% | 62.1% | $1.6M |
| Tokor | $261k | $135k | 4.3% | 58.8% | $7.6M |
| berlinskies | $67k | $104k | 3.5% | 50.5% | $1.9M |
| minusalpha1 | −$77k | $102k | -1.8% | 31.3% | $3.5M |
| oxe78sh4w98 | $10k | $99k | 2.2% | 52.2% | $2.5M |
| ZHZJ789 | −$62k | $97k | -8.7% | 52% | $661k |