0x74e6c1260ac5448c00eb63e1f6894ecd090c99e8
manchot has made $5.6k on Polymarket across 1,029 markets, winning 62% of the ones that resolved. Other is the strength: $7.4k over 160 positions. Right now it holds 15 open positions worth $4.3k, the largest on “Insurrection Act invoked by December 31?” (No). It spreads small stakes widely, about $1.2k per market. Full profile on Polynyx ↗
Biggest open bet right now: $1.9k on No in “Insurrection Act invoked by December 31?”, bought at 79¢.
Track this wallet ↗| Market | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Insurrection Act invoked by December 31? | No | 2k |
| Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026? | No | 768 |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | Yes | 536 |
| Will the Democrats win the Nevada governor race in 2026? | Yes | 419 |
| Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by December 31? | No | 246 |
| Will Democrats sweep the Maine Senate and Governor elections? | Yes | 316 |
| Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 319 |
| Will the Democratic Party win the TX-15 House seat? | Yes | 157 |
| Will Venezuela recognize Israel by December 31? | No | 94 |
| Will Democrats sweep the Texas Senate and Governor elections? | Yes | 261 |
| Blue wave in 2026? | Yes | 54 |
| Talarico Texas Senate odds hit 75% by November 2? | No | 23 |
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| frede13337 | $39k | $39k |
| tin54321 | $34k | $34k |
| JambonMogettes | $29k | $29k |
| cynical.reason | $25k | $25k |
| fregdf12f | $19k | $24k |
| tradetosurvive1 | −$21k | $24k |
| phredmoz | $15k | $22k |
| TheWildProject | $16k | $19k |
| SnapElectionAvoider | $35k | $19k |
| Trusty-Wormhole | $20k | $18k |
The same wallet's all-time P&L card, live from Polynyx, and every ranked Other wallet by name — free to browse, bots filtered.
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