0x753c9d75503e744a3ea0a90f3c1df6259a4ce3ad
lenny4878 has made $2.6k on Polymarket across 209 markets, winning 55% of the ones that resolved — $396 realized and $2.2k still open. Economics is the strength: $121 over 7 positions, mostly Fed & Rates markets. Right now it holds 27 open positions worth $40k, the largest on “Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?” (No). It spreads small stakes widely, about $610 per market. Full profile on Polynyx ↗
| Market | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | No | 27k |
| Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? | No | 4k |
| Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2026? | No | 2k |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House | No | 1k |
| Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? | No | 747 |
| Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? | No | 664 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026? | No | 679 |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House | Yes | 831 |
| Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? | No | 586 |
| Trump out as President before 2027? | No | 543 |
| Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | Yes | 509 |
| Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027? | No | 517 |
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| dromedaryy | $176k | $173k |
| HH168 | $516k | $152k |
| Ronaldo2100 | $366k | $76k |
| Hauchn | $319k | $71k |
| 0x6302… | $113k | $64k |
| topdaddy1 | $47k | $59k |
| HHYP | $94k | $54k |
| MiuMiuYan | $107k | $51k |
| pako | $621k | $50k |
| 0x16c7… | −$158k | $47k |
See the Fed rate decision Polymarket dashboard for the whole category. Browse the top wallets or every live market. Prefer code? The same data is a REST API and MCP server.