0x7a55f70636d812842e948382cff79304f4039e6b
sm-02 has made $643 on Polymarket across 4,874 markets, winning 23% of the ones that resolved. Other is the strength: $119 over 37 positions, mostly Unattributed markets. Right now it holds 952 open positions worth $2.6k, the largest on “Will Anthropic have the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathema…” (No). It wins rarely but big: the payoff on the hits covers the misses. It spreads small stakes widely, about $14 per market. Full profile on Polynyx ↗
| Market | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) at the end of November 2026? | No | 36 |
| Will Ra'am win 8 or more seats in the 2026 Knesset elections? | Yes | 25 |
| No change in Reserve Bank of Australia's interest rates at the November 2026 meeting? | No | 18 |
| Will Toy Story 5 have the 3rd best domestic opening weekend in 2026? | No | 80 |
| Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | Yes | 36 |
| Dota 2: Xipto Esports vs potn9ki - Game 2 Winner | potn9ki | 14 |
| Honor of Kings: Kuaishou Gaming vs LGD NBW (BO7) - King Pro League Grand Finals Playoffs | LGD NBW | 13 |
| Will Donald Trump visit Minnesota in 2026? | No | 19 |
| Will "The Adventures of Cliff Booth" be nominated for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards? | Yes | 49 |
| Will Chengdu Rongcheng win Chinese Super League? | No | 21 |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Tennessee gubernatorial election by 10%-15%? | Yes | 33 |
| Will Alphabet’s market capitalization be between $3.00T and $3.50T at the end of November 2026? | Yes | 22 |
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| hello.67 | $297k | $358k |
| fildoro | $25k | $39k |
| frede13337 | $39k | $39k |
| Cassiopeian | $25k | $33k |
| cynical.reason | $25k | $25k |
| fregdf12f | $19k | $24k |
| tradetosurvive1 | −$21k | $24k |
| 0x15d3… | $22k | $24k |
| TheWildProject | $16k | $19k |
| Trusty-Wormhole | $20k | $18k |
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