0x8debd189ffd74160f25e367bafaed61a9fea7062
taut-dogwood on Polymarket: $49k total P&L, 96% win rate, 584 markets traded, $2.9M volume. Ranked #54 in Economics.
See the Fed rate decision Polymarket dashboard for the whole category. Browse the top wallets or every live market. Prefer code? The same data is a REST API and MCP server.
| Title | Outcome | Size | Avg Price | Cur Price | Cash Pnl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | Yes | $10k | 96¢ | 96¢ | −$47.15 |
| Will the Bank of Canada decrease the target for the overnight rate by 25 bps at the October interest rate announcement? | No | $3k | 100¢ | 100¢ | $2.83 |
| Will the Bank of Canada increase the target for the overnight rate by 50+ bps at the October interest rate announcement? | No | $2k | 100¢ | 100¢ | $1.82 |
| Will the ECB announce no change at the October 2026 meeting? | Yes | $1k | 98¢ | 98¢ | $1.04 |
| Will the Bank of Russia announce a 50+ bps increase at the December 2026 meeting? | No | $748.11 | 96¢ | 98¢ | $13.82 |
| Another Fed rate hike in 2026? | Yes | $800 | 80¢ | 77¢ | −$32.00 |
| Will the Fed Hike–Hike–Hike in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)? | No | $606.14 | 98¢ | 98¢ | $2.06 |
| No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? | Yes | $602.99 | 97¢ | 97¢ | $3.82 |
| Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026? | No | $475.33 | 96¢ | 97¢ | $4.92 |
| Will the Bank of Canada decrease the target for the overnight rate by 50+ bps at the October interest rate announcement? | No | $405 | 100¢ | 100¢ | $0.30 |
| Will the Central Bank of Chile make no change to the monetary policy rate at the October meeting? | Yes | $218.83 | 97¢ | 98¢ | $2.48 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? | Yes | $200 | 94¢ | 95¢ | $2.10 |
| Handle | Pnl | Pnl Month | Roi | Win Rate | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TheReturnOfDarthMaul | $1.7M | $131k | 6.9% | 61.5% | $27.7M |
| ratehikes | $245k | $91k | 3.2% | 1.2% | $6.3M |
| ethBELIVER | $258k | $60k | 8% | 47.1% | $4.5M |
| Yeueu | $38k | $38k | 3.1% | 48.9% | $6.5M |
| Adrink3D | $43k | $38k | 3.9% | 63.8% | $1.1M |
| odsowner | $3k | $26k | 3.2% | 49.2% | $4.7M |
| 0x06b2… | $144k | $25k | 3.4% | 49% | $2.8M |
| TruongMyLan | $15k | $25k | 2.1% | 49.5% | $4.9M |
| baran-ludoman | $6k | $25k | 2.8% | 48.5% | $3.2M |
| neuroplasticompany | $21k | $20k | 11.9% | 42.2% | $187k |